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Live forecasts update automatically; written guidance last reviewed 16 June 2026 by the Northern Focus Weather Desk. Data from Environment and Climate Change Canada and other national met services via Open-Meteo.
Storm Leonardo is a deep low-pressure system currently affecting mainland Portugal and Madeira, bringing severe winds, heavy rain and coastal flooding. The live forecast above shows the storm’s centre west of Lisbon with gusts exceeding 100 km/h.
What is the forecast path and intensity?
According to the Portuguese Institute of Sea and Atmosphere (IPMA), Storm Leonardo is tracking east‑northeast across the Atlantic, expected to make landfall near Figueira da Foz late today. Wind speeds are forecast to reach 120 km/h in exposed coastal areas, with torrential rainfall likely causing flash flooding. The storm is weakening as it moves inland, but gale‑force winds will persist over much of central and northern Portugal through tomorrow.
How does this compare to other Portugal storms?
Storm Leonardo follows a series of active Atlantic low‑pressure systems that have brought unsettled conditions to southern Europe this spring. The 2026 storm season has already seen Storm Marta bring record rainfall to the Algarve, and the current event is expected to cause similar disruptions. For comparison, check our Canada weather warning guidance for how multi‑hazard systems are monitored.
Is Storm Leonardo dangerous?
Yes. Sustained winds of 90–100 km/h and gusts over 120 km/h can down trees, damage structures, and cause widespread power outages. Coastal communities face storm surges and flooding.
When will the storm pass?
Most heavy weather will clear by late tomorrow, though lingering showers and gusty winds may continue through midweek. The storm is expected to move into Spain by Thursday.
What about travel disruption?
Flight cancellations at Lisbon and Porto airports are likely. Ferry services to Madeira have been suspended. Drive only if necessary; avoid coastal roads during high tides.
For ongoing updates on this system, visit our Canada weather hub for general storm‑tracking resources, or read our report on South Africa Weather for comparison with southern‑hemisphere systems. The flood risk is highest in low‑lying areas of the Tagus valley, and local authorities warn of storm damage to infrastructure. Portuguese authorities have issued red alerts ahead of the storm’s arrival.